03-05-2008, 09:47 PM
BIRD33 Wrote:He obviously can't claim a victory after last night but he can tout his delegate totals and how little she actually gained by winning.I predict he will put heavy pressure on her to release her tax records and then imply that she's hiding something when she refuses to do so.I've read 4 or 5 articles today about how she can't catch up unless super delegates carry her.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap_campaignplus/...ne_clinton
Obama began Tuesday with an 11-race winning streak and a lead in the delegate chase in The Associated Press count â 1,386-1,276. His margin was larger â 1,187-1,035 â among pledged delegates chosen in primaries and caucuses.
Clinton has little chance of closing the gap because Democrats allocate most of their delegates proportionally, meaning the loser of a close contest earns nearly as many delegates as the winner. Even as she declared victory in Ohio, Clinton knew that Tuesday's results were unlikely to draw her much closer to Obama.
It doesn't get any better for Clinton after Tuesday. Just for kicks, pencil the New York senator in for landslide victories in Wyoming, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Kentucky plus narrow victories in Guam, Indiana, North Carolina, Montana and South Dakota â scenarios that give her a hefty benefit of the doubt and then some. And what happens?
She still trails Obama.
Her only hope is that a solid majority of the nearly 800 superdelegates support her over Obama. Party rules allow them to act independently, but it's almost unfathomable that these political animals would not ratify the results from primaries and caucuses.
These folks know better than to defy the wishes over voters. No doubt they'll notice that six in 10 Democratic voters told pollsters Tuesday that so-called superdelegates should vote based on results of the primaries and caucuses rather than for the candidate they think has the best chance to win in November.
Hillary is going to make the claim that most of those delegates he won back in February and that the public opinion is changing as the race unfolds. She's going to argue that people know more about the candidates now and they have decided that she is the better candidate. Because of that, she should get the "fresh" opinion of the super delegates. She's going to say that is what they are for. That is the reason for having them. So that they can watch the entire campaign and then vote the will of the people at the end of the campaign, after all the speeches and after all of the media coverage of them.
Obama is going to say, "Wait a fucking minute. A delegate won is a delegate won. Doesn't matter when you win them."
I can see both arguments, but I still think the Democrats would be making a huge mistake to have the superdelegates void the vote of the people. Goes against everything they stand for. I love you.

