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Deal or No Deal Question - Flumper Barflusterbutt - 02-27-2007

Okay, there are only 6 cases that anyone would really want to win in that game:

100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
750,000
1,000,000

Now, there are 26 cases to pick from in the beginning of the game. So a person has a 6 out of 26 chance of picking a "good" case on that first pick.

As the game goes on, do the chances that your case have a good number ever change?

For example, if you get down to 4 cases. They have:

$50
$400
$400,000
$750,000

Are your odds now 1 in 4 that you have $750,000 or are they still 6 in 26?

I assume that your chances are still 6 out of 26 that you have a good case and that has never changed.

Thoughts?

Deal or No Deal Question - Banana - 02-27-2007

6 in 26 and 1 in 4 are almost the exact same odds. 23% versus 25%

Deal or No Deal Question - Flumper Barflusterbutt - 02-27-2007

Banana Wrote:6 in 26 and 1 in 4 are almost the exact same odds. 23% versus 25%

No. YOu are missing the point. The odds are 6 in 26 in the beginning that you have one of the big cases (100,000 or more). But now that there are only 2 of those cases left, you would only have a 2 in 26 chance of having one of them.

So, are your odds 2 in 26 or 1 in 4?

Deal or No Deal Question - SanDog - 02-27-2007

Flumper Barflusterbutt Wrote:Okay, there are only 6 cases that anyone would really want to win in that game:

100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
750,000
1,000,000

Now, there are 26 cases to pick from in the beginning of the game. So a person has a 6 out of 26 chance of picking a "good" case on that first pick.

As the game goes on, do the chances that your case have a good number ever change?

For example, if you get down to 4 cases. They have:

$50
$400
$400,000
$750,000

Are your odds now 1 in 4 that you have $750,000 or are they still 6 in 26?

I assume that your chances are still 6 out of 26 that you have a good case and that has never changed.

Thoughts?
They are 1-4. They change everytime you remove a case. Either good or bad.

Deal or No Deal Question - Flumper Barflusterbutt - 02-27-2007

Flumper Barflusterbutt Wrote:No. YOu are missing the point. The odds are 6 in 26 in the beginning that you have one of the big cases (100,000 or more). But now that there are only 2 of those cases left, you would only have a 2 in 26 chance of having one of them.

So, are your odds 2 in 26 or 1 in 4?

No, not even that is right. Are your chances 2 in 26 of having $400,000 or $750,000 or are they 2 in 4?

Deal or No Deal Question - SanDog - 02-27-2007

Flumper Barflusterbutt Wrote:No, not even that is right. Are your chances 2 in 26 of having $400,000 or $750,000 or are they 2 in 4?

They are 2 in 4 in that case. You have 4 cases. 2 of them have the amount you want. You odds are 2 in 4.

Deal or No Deal Question - Sassy - 02-27-2007

SanDog Wrote:They are 2 in 4 in that case. You have 4 cases. 2 of them have the amount you want. You odds are 2 in 4.
2 in 4 in that case are
2 in 4 in that case
.What makes you think I have 4 cases?As Bertrand Russel said, it must have taken ages for people to realize that a brace of pheasants and a couple of days are both instances of the number "two."Thanks for telling me:
said I odds are 2 in 4.

Deal or No Deal Question - CT280 - 02-27-2007

2 in 4. jesus christ, when is your daughter going to reg?

Deal or No Deal Question - Paddy - 02-27-2007

You're all missing the point. Carry on.

Deal or No Deal Question - Dr. Lecter - 02-27-2007

Flumper Barflusterbutt Wrote:No, not even that is right. Are your chances 2 in 26 of having $400,000 or $750,000 or are they 2 in 4?
You don't do your own taxes, do you?

Deal or No Deal Question - Flumper Barflusterbutt - 02-27-2007

SanDog Wrote:They are 2 in 4 in that case. You have 4 cases. 2 of them have the amount you want. You odds are 2 in 4.

Well, that's what I think to. Especially, since they are randomly opening the cases. But, after watching that show, it always seems like the person has a shitty case in their hands.

Deal or No Deal Question - Flumper Barflusterbutt - 02-27-2007

Dr. Lecter Wrote:You don't do your own taxes, do you?

No. I quit doing that a long time ago. What the fuck does that have to do with anything?

Deal or No Deal Question - Dr. Lecter - 02-27-2007

Flumper Barflusterbutt Wrote:Well, that's what I think to. Especially, since they are randomly opening the cases. But, after watching that show, it always seems like the person has a shitty case in their hands.

OH! Now I get it! The answer is easy... it's because the show sucks. They try to make it way too suspenseful with family and friends, letting the dumb bitch case openers talk (why?) and accomplish in an hour what can be done in 15 minutes.

Deal or No Deal Question - nicthaninja - 02-27-2007

The more important question is does running around the stage and jumping up and down improve your odds?

Deal or No Deal Question - Flumper Barflusterbutt - 02-27-2007

Dr. Lecter Wrote:OH! Now I get it! The answer is easy... it's because the show sucks. They try to make it way too suspenseful with family and friends, letting the dumb bitch case openers talk (why?) and accomplish in an hour what can be done in 15 minutes.

Fuck you. The show is entertaining.

Deal or No Deal Question - Dr. Lecter - 02-27-2007

Flumper Barflusterbutt Wrote:Fuck you. The show is entertaining.

Hold on.... I'm getting a call from the banker.

Yep, he says you're a loser.

Deal or No Deal Question - BIRD33 - 02-27-2007

I hope that person I don't give a fuck about randomly selects the case with the most $$ in it even though a monkey has the same odds!!

Deal or No Deal Question - Flumper Barflusterbutt - 02-27-2007

Dr. Lecter Wrote:Hold on.... I'm getting a call from the banker.

Yep, he says you're a loser.

Sounds like you know an awful lot about this show that you hate.

Deal or No Deal Question - ntype - 02-27-2007

[Image: img215222.jpg]

Deal or No Deal Question - Anhil8tor - 02-28-2007

I hate that show